UCF
W-L: (11-20) PR = 94.4279Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Beth-Cook SWAC ( 5-24, 90.9) 75-36 1109 H Charlotte AME (38-24, 94.3) 64-66 1118 A Florida Int CUSA (21-12, 94.3) 79-61 1121 A Florida A&M SWAC ( 8-22, 91.7) 76-59 1124 A SC St MEAC ( 3-25, 90.4) 94-49 1126 A Ea Carolina AME (22-10, 94.7) 75-61 1127 H Wake Forest ACC (14-18, 94.2) 60-65 1128 A Rice AME (31- 5, 96.0) 57-56 1203 H Stetson AS (18-12, 93.9) 67-70 1207 A Delaware St MEAC ( 6-23, 90.9) 74-46 1214 A Morgan State MEAC ( 5-25, 90.9) 78-56 1220 H BYU B12 (24-12, 96.1) 50-71 1231 H Texas Tech B12 (26- 8, 96.6) 55-73 104 H Kansas B12 (22-14, 96.0) 68-83 107 H Arizona St B12 (24-11, 96.2) 45-68 110 A Arizona B12 (12-18, 94.7) 58-55 114 H Cincinnati B12 (11-20, 94.8) 59-63 114 H Cincinnati B12 (11-20, 94.8) 59-63 118 A Colorado B12 (23-12, 96.4) 74-68 121 H Baylor B12 (25- 9, 97.0) 48-73 124 H TCU B12 (33- 5, 97.6) 50-67 131 H Iowa St B12 (21-11, 96.2) 52-65 204 H Utah B12 (17-14, 95.8) 57-67 207 H Oklahoma St B12 (23-11, 96.6) 58-81 211 H West Va B12 (27- 8, 97.3) 56-** 215 H Baylor B12 (25- 9, 97.0) 63-93 218 H Kansas St B12 (18-18, 95.8) 67-93 221 H Cincinnati B12 (11-20, 94.8) 60-73 225 H West Va B12 (27- 8, 97.3) 62-74 301 A Houston B12 ( 7-23, 94.2) 72-62 304 H Kansas B12 (22-14, 96.0) 35-56
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Beth-Cook 75-36 39 3 0.00
1109 H Charlotte 64-66 -2 0 - -2.11
1118 A Florida Int 79-61 18 0 1.92
1121 A Florida A&M 76-59 17 3 0.00
1124 A SC St 94-49 45 4 0.00
1126 A Ea Carolina 75-61 14 0 + 2.25
1127 H Wake Forest 60-65 -5 0 - -2.20
1128 A Rice 57-56 1 -2 + 2.62
1203 H Stetson 67-70 -3 1 - -2.50
1207 A Delaware St 74-46 28 4 0.00
1214 A Morgan State 78-56 22 4 0.00
1220 H BYU 50-71 -21 -2 -0.33
1231 H Texas Tech 55-73 -18 -2 0.00
104 H Kansas 68-83 -15 -2 -0.39
107 H Arizona St 45-68 -23 -2 -0.25
110 A Arizona 58-55 3 0 + 2.25
114 H Cincinnati 59-63 -4 0 -1.68
114 H Cincinnati 59-63 -4 0 -1.68
118 A Colorado 74-68 6 -2 + 3.96
121 H Baylor 48-73 -25 -3 0.00
124 H TCU 50-67 -17 -3 0.00
131 H Iowa St 52-65 -13 -2 -0.23
204 H Utah 57-67 -10 -1 -0.62
207 H Oklahoma St 58-81 -23 -2 0.00
211 H West Va 56-** -50 -3 0.00
215 H Baylor 63-93 -30 -3 0.00
218 H Kansas St 67-93 -26 -1 -0.66
221 H Cincinnati 60-73 -13 0 -1.68
225 H West Va 62-74 -12 -3 0.00
301 A Houston 72-62 10 0 1.74
304 H Kansas 35-56 -21 -2 -0.39
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1109 H Charlotte 64-66 -2 0 - -2.11 1127 H Wake Forest 60-65 -5 0 - -2.20 1203 H Stetson 67-70 -3 1 - -2.50 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1126 A Ea Carolina 75-61 14 0 + 2.25 1128 A Rice 57-56 1 -2 + 2.62 110 A Arizona 58-55 3 0 + 2.25 118 A Colorado 74-68 6 -2 + 3.96 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Beth-Cook ( 5-24, 90.9) 75-36 -8.95 2.01 0.01 0.98 3.95
3 H Charlotte (38-24, 94.3) 64-66 -5.57 5.39 -0.01 0.98 -2.73
3 A Florida Int (21-12, 94.3) 79-61 -5.56 5.40 0.01 0.98 10.59
3 A Florida A&M ( 8-22, 91.7) 76-59 -8.23 2.73 0.01 0.98 5.37
3 A SC St ( 3-25, 90.4) 94-49 -9.50 1.46 0.01 0.98 2.88
3 A Ea Carolina (22-10, 94.7) 75-61 -5.23 5.73 0.01 0.98 11.24
3 H Wake Forest (14-18, 94.2) 60-65 -5.66 5.30 -0.01 0.98 -2.78
3 A Rice (31- 5, 96.0) 57-56 -3.86 7.10 0.01 0.98 13.93
3 H Stetson (18-12, 93.9) 67-70 -5.97 4.99 -0.01 0.98 -2.93
3 A Delaware St ( 6-23, 90.9) 74-46 -9.05 1.91 0.01 0.98 3.76
3 A Morgan State ( 5-25, 90.9) 78-56 -9.02 1.94 0.01 0.98 3.81
3 H BYU (24-12, 96.1) 50-71 -3.79 7.17 -0.01 0.98 -1.86
3 H Texas Tech (26- 8, 96.6) 55-73 -3.31 7.65 -0.01 0.98 -1.63
3 H Kansas (22-14, 96.0) 68-83 -3.86 7.10 -0.01 0.98 -1.89
3 H Arizona St (24-11, 96.2) 45-68 -3.71 7.25 -0.01 0.98 -1.82
3 A Arizona (12-18, 94.7) 58-55 -5.23 5.73 0.01 0.98 11.23
3 H Cincinnati (11-20, 94.8) 59-63 -5.14 5.82 -0.01 0.98 -2.52
3 H Cincinnati (11-20, 94.8) 59-63 -5.14 5.82 -0.01 0.98 -2.52
3 A Colorado (23-12, 96.4) 74-68 -3.52 7.44 0.01 0.98 14.59
3 H Baylor (25- 9, 97.0) 48-73 -2.87 8.09 -0.01 0.98 -1.41
3 H TCU (33- 5, 97.6) 50-67 -2.28 8.68 -0.01 0.98 -1.12
3 H Iowa St (21-11, 96.2) 52-65 -3.69 7.27 -0.01 0.98 -1.81
3 H Utah (17-14, 95.8) 57-67 -4.09 6.87 -0.01 0.98 -2.01
3 H Oklahoma St (23-11, 96.6) 58-81 -3.29 7.67 -0.01 0.98 -1.62
3 H West Va (27- 8, 97.3) 56-** -2.60 8.36 -0.01 0.98 -1.28
3 H Baylor (25- 9, 97.0) 63-93 -2.87 8.09 -0.01 0.98 -1.41
3 H Kansas St (18-18, 95.8) 67-93 -4.13 6.84 -0.01 0.98 -2.02
3 H Cincinnati (11-20, 94.8) 60-73 -5.14 5.82 -0.01 0.98 -2.52
3 H West Va (27- 8, 97.3) 62-74 -2.60 8.36 -0.01 0.98 -1.28
3 A Houston ( 7-23, 94.2) 72-62 -5.74 5.22 0.01 0.98 10.24
3 H Kansas (22-14, 96.0) 35-56 -3.86 7.10 -0.01 0.98 -1.89
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52.55
|
winning pts = 91.5988 losing points = -39.0486
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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